Draft Lottery Simulator
NBA-style weighted odds, instant results. Tweak the league size and run it as many times as you want.
Hit “Run Simulation” to watch the lottery play out
How the Draft Lottery Simulator Works
This simulator uses the same NBA-style weighted lottery algorithm that powers our sealed draft lottery generator. Each team gets a number of “lottery balls” based on their standing — the worst record gets the most balls and the best odds at the #1 pick. Picks are drawn one at a time using cryptographic randomness, just like the real NBA draft lottery.
Unlike a real league lottery, the simulator runs instantly with no saved results. Use it to explore how NBA-style odds work, test different league sizes, or just watch the balls fall. When you're ready to run a real lottery for your fantasy league, create a sealed lottery with a scheduled reveal date that your whole league can watch together.
NBA-Style Lottery Odds Explained
In the real NBA draft lottery, the 14 non-playoff teams each receive a weighted number of lottery combinations. The three worst teams share the best odds (14% each), then odds drop steeply for better teams. Our algorithm interpolates these official NBA odds to any league size — whether your fantasy league has 6 teams or 20.
This means in a 12-team league, the bottom 3 teams all have roughly equal odds at the top pick, while the 12th-place team (best record in the lottery) has less than a 1% chance. The result: tanking is discouraged because even the worst team isn't guaranteed #1, but bad teams still get meaningfully better odds.